Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 14.636734 17.010120 19.589610 22.594071 25.989743 29.700838 34.055601
2025-08-31 10.025275 13.111538 16.808451 21.528326 27.355631 34.273647 43.062963
2025-09-07 7.960087 11.421030 15.890195 22.004522 30.060157 40.209352 53.845452
2025-09-14 6.572088 10.203918 15.199681 22.435622 32.483629 45.755886 64.386319
2025-09-21 5.329275 8.903441 14.113487 22.058387 33.618125 49.532173 72.732440
2025-09-28 4.329947 7.753719 13.023177 21.449264 34.240434 52.515574 80.067499
2025-10-05 4.016406 7.608173 13.382446 22.969227 38.013113 60.132492 94.348779
2025-10-12 3.688154 7.373328 13.548379 24.168941 41.356967 67.305941 108.401064
2025-10-19 3.252314 6.872450 13.200104 24.477187 43.297647 72.463473 119.731128
2025-10-26 2.861237 6.383550 12.798030 24.627310 44.955397 77.243775 130.715069
2025-11-02 2.464465 5.812948 12.170213 24.303342 45.769072 80.703585 139.794835
2025-11-09 2.095738 5.231578 11.440820 23.704611 46.034755 83.253172 147.519735
2025-11-16 1.744237 4.644336 10.665424 23.020259 46.241058 85.966217 156.114876
2025-11-23 1.408519 4.025095 9.743619 21.966461 45.722838 87.490096 162.983813
2025-11-30 1.258411 3.809792 9.621869 22.456105 48.070823 94.080125 178.763883
2025-12-07 1.124418 3.604198 9.487392 22.895724 50.346822 100.672804 194.910571
2025-12-14 0.954101 3.261828 8.990941 22.511935 50.976658 104.333019 206.121745
2025-12-21 0.796841 2.913869 8.421676 21.891983 51.061243 106.970795 215.628653
2025-12-28 0.775281 2.958769 8.809308 23.438961 55.675733 118.316641 241.445722
2026-01-04 0.737153 2.944231 9.045009 24.659825 59.698530 128.758345 266.106558
2026-01-11 0.661467 2.790861 8.899967 24.973481 61.821190 135.664440 284.548353
2026-01-18 0.588356 2.626312 8.698659 25.126236 63.600666 141.991017 302.199730
2026-01-25 0.507403 2.410402 8.320114 24.796586 64.283448 146.171753 315.958518